Is it really a Higgs?
Peter Woit tells in This Week's rumour that CMS has found that the signal for what could be Higgs in gamma-gamma decay channel is two times higher than it should be. The optimistic interpretation is that both ATLAS and CMS have been a little bit lucky. But can we believe this? Statistics has been improving: how it is possible that also CMS is getting "lucky"!
If the good luck continues, one is forced to challenge the idea that the signal represents standard model Higgs. SUSY Higgs cannot help since standard SUSY itself is in deep difficulties experimentally. We cannot forget that there are also Higgs like signals at higher masses but these were "forgotten" in the midst of the Higgs hysteria - at least by bloggers who seem to suffer from rather short span of long term memory. Some of us even experienced a sudden conversion from a phanatic no-fairiest to an equally phanatic believer-in-Higgs;-).
In the zero energy ontology of TGD Higgs is not needed at all. A scaled up variant of ordinary hadron physics characterized by Mersenne prime M89 is however "almost-predicted" (better to be cautious!) with mass scale 512 higher than that for ordinary hadron physics. This hadron physics can be said to replace Higgs.
The mesons of this hadron physics should be detected first at LHC. In particular, M89 pion and spion (obtained by replacing quark and antiquark of pion with squark and antiquark) should be there if TGD SUSY is realized in the simplest possible manner meaning the same p-adic mass scale for both quarks and squarks. The few year old discovery of exotic satellite states of ordinary pion supports this radically new view about SUSY as also the mysterious X and Y mesons which in many respects look like charmonium states but are not charmonium states. I have told about all this in the earlier postings. Here is the most recent one.
The generalization of partially conserved axial current hypothesis (PCAC) allows to predict various decay rates and leads to very similar expressions for the decay rates of M89 pseudoscalar mesons as standard model for those of Higgs. Higgs vacuum expectation is replaced with the decay constant fπ of pion-like (more generally meson-like) state which in sigma model corresponds to the vacuum expectation of sigma field. Sigma model is however not necessary except as a phenomenological description in which sigma field expectation would characterize the contribution of the classical color magnetic fields to the mass of M89 baryons. Quark masses would follow from p-adic thermodynamics providing a microscopic description for particle massivation: also the need for this description has been forgotten by the main stream bloggers.
In particular, spion would have 1.5 times higher gamma-gamma decay rate if one extrapolates directly the PCAC for ordinary pion by the simplest possible scaling argument. Could it be that the Higgs candidate is actually spion and pion and other mesons are also there waiting to be discovered? This is the question.
My guess is that within year Higgs hypothesis is dead and one must begin serious work in trying to resolve the problems visible already now.